The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $138K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.4%

Anthropic

Open Polymarket ↗

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

China

Open Polymarket ↗

Google

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.5%

Google

Open Polymarket ↗

Iran

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9%

Iran

Open Polymarket ↗

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.0%

Israel

Open Polymarket ↗

Meta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Meta

Open Polymarket ↗

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.8%

North Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

Saudi Arabia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Saudi Arabia

Open Polymarket ↗

SpaceXAI / Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.3%

SpaceXAI / Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.