Market comparison

Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

1 venue · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

32 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Aileen Cannon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.4% Bid 9.1% · Ask 27.6% Aileen Cannon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Amul Thapar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 27.0% Amul Thapar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Oldham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Andrew Oldham Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gregory Katsas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 75.5% Gregory Katsas Open Polymarket ↗	—
James Ho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 59.0% James Ho Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Sauer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0% John Sauer Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mike Lee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 14.0% Mike Lee Open Polymarket ↗	—
Neomi Rao Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Neomi Rao Open Polymarket ↗	—
Patrick Bumatay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9% Patrick Bumatay Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steven Menashi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 10.5% Steven Menashi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ted Cruz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 40.2% Ted Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	—

Aileen Cannon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.4%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 27.6%

Aileen Cannon

Open Polymarket ↗

Amul Thapar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 27.0%

Amul Thapar

Open Polymarket ↗

Andrew Oldham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Andrew Oldham

Open Polymarket ↗

Gregory Katsas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 75.5%

Gregory Katsas

Open Polymarket ↗

James Ho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 59.0%

James Ho

Open Polymarket ↗

John Sauer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0%

John Sauer

Open Polymarket ↗

Mike Lee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 14.0%

Mike Lee

Open Polymarket ↗

Neomi Rao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Neomi Rao

Open Polymarket ↗

Patrick Bumatay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9%

Patrick Bumatay

Open Polymarket ↗

Steven Menashi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 10.5%

Steven Menashi

Open Polymarket ↗

Ted Cruz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 40.2%

Ted Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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