Market comparison

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

2 venues · 66 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

61 outcomes · $352K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 24s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

17 outcomes · $66K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Andy Burnham Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Andy Burnham · closed Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5% Andy Burnham Open Polymarket ↗	96.0 pp
Benjamin Netanyahu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Benjamin Netanyahu · closed Open Kalshi ↗	3.9% Bid 3.4% · Ask 4.4% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	95.1 pp
Elon Musk Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Elon Musk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 99.9% Elon Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Javier Milei Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Javier Milei · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% Javier Milei Open Polymarket ↗	98.2 pp
Kim Jong Un Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Kim Jong Un Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Kim Jong Un Open Polymarket ↗	16.8 pp
Mark Carney Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mark Carney · closed Open Kalshi ↗	4.4% Bid 3.8% · Ask 5.0% Mark Carney Open Polymarket ↗	94.6 pp
Mohammed bin Salman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% Mohammed bin Salman Open Kalshi ↗	2.7% Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.1% Mohammed bin Salman Open Polymarket ↗	60.3 pp
Sam Altman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	97.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Sam Altman · closed Open Kalshi ↗	15.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0% Sam Altman Open Polymarket ↗	81.6 pp
Vladimir Putin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	83.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0% Vladimir Putin Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.9% Vladimir Putin Open Polymarket ↗	81.8 pp
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Polymarket ↗	97.5 pp
Xi Jinping Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.8% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Xi Jinping · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Xi Jinping Open Polymarket ↗	98.9 pp
Abelardo de la Espriella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0% Abelardo de la Espriella Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ahmed al-Sharaa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0% Ahmed al-Sharaa · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Aluminum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Aluminum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Antifa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 37.0% Antifa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Autism Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Autism Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Barack Hussein Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Barack Hussein Obama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bill Clinton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8% Bill Clinton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bongbong Marcos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 88.0% Bongbong Marcos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ceasefire · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Claudia Sheinbaum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0% Claudia Sheinbaum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cognitive Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Cognitive · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dario Amodei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% Dario Amodei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deal / Settle / Settled Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Deal / Settle / Settled · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dividend / Stimulus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dividend / Stimulus · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Epstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Epstein Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fat shot / Ozempic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Fat shot / Ozempic Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Filibuster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Filibuster · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0% Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Giorgia Meloni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7% Giorgia Meloni Open Polymarket ↗	—
Golden Dome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Golden Dome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jensen Huang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Jensen Huang · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jerome Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 5.4% · Ask 11.0% Jerome Powell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joe Rogan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Joe Rogan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
José Antonio Kast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% José Antonio Kast · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joseph Aoun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.8% Joseph Aoun Open Polymarket ↗	—
Keir Starmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid — · Ask 2.0% Keir Starmer Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kevin Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kevin Warsh · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lai Ching-te Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Lai Ching-te Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Open Polymarket ↗	—
Make Iran Great Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Make Iran Great Again Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
María Corina Machado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% María Corina Machado · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marjorie Taylor Greene Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.9% Marjorie Taylor Greene Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mark Zuckerberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mark Zuckerberg · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miguel Díaz-Canel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.4% Miguel Díaz-Canel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Moon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nasry Asfura Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nasry Asfura · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nayib Bukele Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nayib Bukele · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Newscum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Newscum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.4% Nicolás Maduro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peace in the Middle East Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Peace in the Middle East Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pelosi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pelosi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peptide Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0% Peptide Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peter Thiel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0% Peter Thiel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pope Leo XIV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.7% Pope Leo XIV Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Predict / Prediction Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Predict / Prediction Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 93.0% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Reza Pahlavi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 5.2% · Ask 9.9% Reza Pahlavi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Space Force Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Space Force · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Third Term Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Third Term · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tim Walz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 7.0% Tim Walz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% UFC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 44.0% UFO / UAP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Who are you with / Where are you from Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Who are you with / Where are you from · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zohran Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran / Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Andy Burnham

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Andy Burnham · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5%

Andy Burnham

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 96.0 pp

Benjamin Netanyahu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 4.4%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 95.1 pp

Elon Musk

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Elon Musk · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 99.9%

Elon Musk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Javier Milei

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Javier Milei · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

Javier Milei

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 98.2 pp

Kim Jong Un

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Kim Jong Un

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Kim Jong Un

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.8 pp

Mark Carney

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Mark Carney · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 5.0%

Mark Carney

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 94.6 pp

Mohammed bin Salman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0%

Mohammed bin Salman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.1%

Mohammed bin Salman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 60.3 pp

Sam Altman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

97.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Sam Altman · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0%

Sam Altman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 81.6 pp

Vladimir Putin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0%

Vladimir Putin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.9%

Vladimir Putin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 81.8 pp

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 97.5 pp

Xi Jinping

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.8%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Xi Jinping · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6%

Xi Jinping

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 98.9 pp

Abelardo de la Espriella

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0%

Abelardo de la Espriella

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0%

Ahmed al-Sharaa · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Aluminum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Aluminum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 37.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Autism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Autism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bill Clinton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8%

Bill Clinton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bongbong Marcos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 88.0%

Bongbong Marcos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ceasefire · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Claudia Sheinbaum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0%

Claudia Sheinbaum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cognitive

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cognitive · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dario Amodei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

Dario Amodei

Open Polymarket ↗

Deal / Settle / Settled

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deal / Settle / Settled · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fat shot / Ozempic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Fat shot / Ozempic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Filibuster · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0%

Gavin Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Giorgia Meloni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7%

Giorgia Meloni

Open Polymarket ↗

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jensen Huang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Jensen Huang · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jerome Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 11.0%

Jerome Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joe Rogan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Joe Rogan · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

José Antonio Kast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

José Antonio Kast · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joseph Aoun

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.8%

Joseph Aoun

Open Polymarket ↗

Keir Starmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Keir Starmer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kevin Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Kevin Warsh · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lai Ching-te

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Lai Ching-te

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Open Polymarket ↗

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

María Corina Machado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

María Corina Machado · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.9%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mark Zuckerberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Mark Zuckerberg · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.4%

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Open Polymarket ↗

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nasry Asfura

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nasry Asfura · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nayib Bukele

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nayib Bukele · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Newscum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Newscum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.4%

Nicolás Maduro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pelosi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pelosi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peptide

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Peptide

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peter Thiel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

Peter Thiel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pope Leo XIV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.7%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Predict / Prediction

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Predict / Prediction

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 93.0%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Reza Pahlavi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.2%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 9.9%

Reza Pahlavi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Space Force

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Space Force · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tim Walz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 7.0%

Tim Walz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 44.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Who are you with / Where are you from

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Who are you with / Where are you from · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zohran Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran / Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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