Market comparison

Who will Trump pardon?

1 venue · 53 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

53 outcomes · $448K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Trump pardon?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Alex Mashinsky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.2% Bid 8.2% · Ask 13.0% Alex Mashinsky Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barron Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	54.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0% Barron Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bill Hwang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% Bill Hwang Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bob Menendez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0% Bob Menendez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brian Cole Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Brian Cole Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daniel Hale Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.1% Bid 9.1% · Ask 16.0% Daniel Hale Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeAndre Way Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 4.1% · Ask 8.5% DeAndre Way Open Kalshi ↗	—
Derek Chauvin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 32.0% Derek Chauvin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0% Donald Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—
Donald Trump Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 63.0% Donald Trump Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Edward Snowden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0% Edward Snowden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elizabeth Holmes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0% Elizabeth Holmes Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0% Elon Musk Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eric Adams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0% Eric Adams Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eric Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0% Eric Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ghislaine Maxwell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0% Ghislaine Maxwell Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hunter Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.3% Hunter Biden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 58.0% Jared Kushner Open Kalshi ↗	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0% JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jeffery Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.1% Bid 8.1% · Ask 13.0% Jeffery Williams Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jho Low Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Jho Low Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joe Giudice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Joe Giudice Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jose Muyet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0% Jose Muyet Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joseph Maldonado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% Joseph Maldonado Open Kalshi ↗	—
Julian Assange Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0% Julian Assange Open Kalshi ↗	—
Justin Sun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0% Justin Sun Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keonne Rodriguez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 47.0% Keonne Rodriguez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kisean Anderson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0% Kisean Anderson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Larry Householder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Larry Householder Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leon Stanton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 9.1% · Ask 19.0% Leon Stanton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Martin Shkreli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 33.0% Martin Shkreli Open Kalshi ↗	—
Matt Borges Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Matt Borges Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pam Bondi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% Pam Bondi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 59.0% Pete Hegseth Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pete Rose Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Pete Rose Open Kalshi ↗	—
Prakazrel Michel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0% Prakazrel Michel Open Kalshi ↗	—
Robin Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0% Robin Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—
Roger Ver Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9% Roger Ver Open Kalshi ↗	—
Safaree Samuels Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.1% Bid 9.1% · Ask 18.0% Safaree Samuels Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sam Bankman-Fried Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Sam Bankman-Fried Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott Bessent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 48.0% Scott Bessent Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sean Combs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Sean Combs Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sebastian Telfair Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 5.4% · Ask 14.0% Sebastian Telfair Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steve Bannon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0% Steve Bannon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Susie Wiles Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0% Susie Wiles Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tim Leissner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0% Tim Leissner Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tina Peters Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tina Peters · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Todd Blanche Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 43.0% Todd Blanche Open Kalshi ↗	—
Torence Hatch Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0% Torence Hatch Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tou Thao Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 24.0% Tou Thao Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ty Garbin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.7% · Ask 11.0% Ty Garbin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0% Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029? Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alex Mashinsky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 8.2% · Ask 13.0%

Alex Mashinsky

Open Kalshi ↗

Barron Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0%

Barron Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Bill Hwang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0%

Bill Hwang

Open Kalshi ↗

Bob Menendez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0%

Bob Menendez

Open Kalshi ↗

Brian Cole Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Brian Cole Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Daniel Hale

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.1%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 16.0%

Daniel Hale

Open Kalshi ↗

DeAndre Way

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 8.5%

DeAndre Way

Open Kalshi ↗

Derek Chauvin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 32.0%

Derek Chauvin

Open Kalshi ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0%

Donald Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Donald Trump Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 63.0%

Donald Trump Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Edward Snowden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0%

Edward Snowden

Open Kalshi ↗

Elizabeth Holmes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0%

Elizabeth Holmes

Open Kalshi ↗

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0%

Elon Musk

Open Kalshi ↗

Eric Adams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0%

Eric Adams

Open Kalshi ↗

Eric Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0%

Eric Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Ghislaine Maxwell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

Ghislaine Maxwell

Open Kalshi ↗

Hunter Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.3%

Hunter Biden

Open Kalshi ↗

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 58.0%

Jared Kushner

Open Kalshi ↗

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0%

JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Jeffery Williams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 13.0%

Jeffery Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Jho Low

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

Jho Low

Open Kalshi ↗

Joe Giudice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Joe Giudice

Open Kalshi ↗

Jose Muyet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0%

Jose Muyet

Open Kalshi ↗

Joseph Maldonado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0%

Joseph Maldonado

Open Kalshi ↗

Julian Assange

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0%

Julian Assange

Open Kalshi ↗

Justin Sun

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0%

Justin Sun

Open Kalshi ↗

Keonne Rodriguez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 47.0%

Keonne Rodriguez

Open Kalshi ↗

Kisean Anderson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0%

Kisean Anderson

Open Kalshi ↗

Larry Householder

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Larry Householder

Open Kalshi ↗

Leon Stanton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 19.0%

Leon Stanton

Open Kalshi ↗

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Martin Shkreli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 33.0%

Martin Shkreli

Open Kalshi ↗

Matt Borges

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Matt Borges

Open Kalshi ↗

Pam Bondi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0%

Pam Bondi

Open Kalshi ↗

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 59.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Kalshi ↗

Pete Rose

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Pete Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Prakazrel Michel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0%

Prakazrel Michel

Open Kalshi ↗

Robin Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0%

Robin Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Roger Ver

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9%

Roger Ver

Open Kalshi ↗

Safaree Samuels

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.1%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 18.0%

Safaree Samuels

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Bankman-Fried

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Sam Bankman-Fried

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott Bessent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 48.0%

Scott Bessent

Open Kalshi ↗

Sean Combs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Sean Combs

Open Kalshi ↗

Sebastian Telfair

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.4%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 14.0%

Sebastian Telfair

Open Kalshi ↗

Steve Bannon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0%

Steve Bannon

Open Kalshi ↗

Susie Wiles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0%

Susie Wiles

Open Kalshi ↗

Tim Leissner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

Tim Leissner

Open Kalshi ↗

Tina Peters

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Tina Peters · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Todd Blanche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 43.0%

Todd Blanche

Open Kalshi ↗

Torence Hatch

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

Torence Hatch

Open Kalshi ↗

Tou Thao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 24.0%

Tou Thao

Open Kalshi ↗

Ty Garbin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 11.0%

Ty Garbin

Open Kalshi ↗

Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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