Market comparison
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
2 venues · 66 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗41 outcomes · $154K reported volume
Observed 27s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗26 outcomes · $93K reported volume
Observed 27s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Zohran Mamdani Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 85.0 pp | ||
Abdul El-Sayed Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Aluminum Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Andy Burnham Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Antifa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Autism Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Barack Obama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Barack Obama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Benjamin Netanyahu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Candace Owens Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ceasefire Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chuck Schumer Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Cognitive Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dario Amodei Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Deal / Settle / Settled Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Dividend / Stimulus Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Elizabeth Warren Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Elon Musk Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Emmanuel Macron Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Epstein Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Fat shot / Ozempic Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Filibuster Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Friedrich Merz Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Gavin Newsom Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Golden Dome Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Greenland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hakeem Jeffries Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hasan Piker Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hillary Clinton Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ilhan Omar Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
J.B. Pritzker Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
J.D. Vance Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jerome Powell Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jimmy Kimmel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Joe Biden Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jon Ossoff Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kaitlan Collins Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kamala Harris Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kathy Hochul Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kevin Warsh Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Letitia James Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Make Iran Great Again Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Marjorie Taylor Greene Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mark Carney Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Masoud Pezeshkian Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mike Rogers Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Moon Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Newscum Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nicolás Maduro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Peace in the Middle East Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pelosi Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Peptide Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pope Leo XIV Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Predict / Prediction Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Space Force Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Stephen Colbert Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Third Term Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Thomas Massie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tucker Carlson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
UFC Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
UFO / UAP Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Vladimir Putin Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Who are you with / Where are you from Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Xi Jinping Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Zohran Mamdani
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 85.0 pp
Abdul El-Sayed
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Aluminum
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Andy Burnham
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Antifa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Autism
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Barack Obama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Barack Obama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Benjamin Netanyahu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Candace Owens
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ceasefire
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Chuck Schumer
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Cognitive
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Dario Amodei
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Deal / Settle / Settled
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Dividend / Stimulus
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Elizabeth Warren
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Elon Musk
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Emmanuel Macron
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Epstein
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Fat shot / Ozempic
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Filibuster
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Friedrich Merz
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Gavin Newsom
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Golden Dome
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Greenland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Hakeem Jeffries
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Hasan Piker
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Hillary Clinton
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ilhan Omar
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
J.B. Pritzker
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
J.D. Vance
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
James Talarico
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jerome Powell
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jimmy Kimmel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Joe Biden
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jon Ossoff
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kaitlan Collins
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kamala Harris
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kathy Hochul
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ken Paxton
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kevin Warsh
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Letitia James
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Make Iran Great Again
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Mark Carney
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Masoud Pezeshkian
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Mike Rogers
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Moon
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Newscum
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Nicolás Maduro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Peace in the Middle East
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Pelosi
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Peptide
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Pope Leo XIV
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Predict / Prediction
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Space Force
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Stephen Colbert
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Third Term
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Thomas Massie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Tucker Carlson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
UFC
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
UFO / UAP
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Vladimir Putin
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Who are you with / Where are you from
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Xi Jinping
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.