The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

2 venues · 66 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

41 outcomes · $154K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

26 outcomes · $93K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Zohran Mamdani

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 17.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran / Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 85.0 pp

Abdul El-Sayed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Abdul El-Sayed · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Aluminum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Aluminum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Andy Burnham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.9%

Andy Burnham

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 44.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Autism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Autism

Open Kalshi ↗

Barack Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Obama · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Barack Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Benjamin Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candace Owens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Candace Owens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ceasefire · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Chuck Schumer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Chuck Schumer · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cognitive

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cognitive · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Dario Amodei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 37.0%

Dario Amodei

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Deal / Settle / Settled

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deal / Settle / Settled · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Elizabeth Warren

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Elizabeth Warren · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Emmanuel Macron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 38.0%

Emmanuel Macron

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 30.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Fat shot / Ozempic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 43.0%

Fat shot / Ozempic

Open Kalshi ↗

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Filibuster · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Friedrich Merz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 18.0%

Friedrich Merz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Gavin Newsom · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Hakeem Jeffries

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 90.0%

Hakeem Jeffries

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hasan Piker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.8% · Ask 99.7%

Hasan Piker · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hillary Clinton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 49.0%

Hillary Clinton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ilhan Omar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ilhan Omar · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

J.B. Pritzker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

69.5%

Bid 49.1% · Ask 89.9%

J.B. Pritzker

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.4%

J.D. Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James Talarico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

James Talarico · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jerome Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 99.9%

Jerome Powell · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jimmy Kimmel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Jimmy Kimmel · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joe Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Joe Biden · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 99.9%

Jon Ossoff · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kaitlan Collins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Kaitlan Collins · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.2% · Ask 99.9%

Kamala Harris · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kathy Hochul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0%

Kathy Hochul · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ken Paxton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0%

Ken Paxton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kevin Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kevin Warsh

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Letitia James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.9%

Letitia James · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 100.0%

Marjorie Taylor Greene · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mark Carney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 38.0%

Mark Carney

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Masoud Pezeshkian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7%

Masoud Pezeshkian

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mike Rogers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Mike Rogers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Newscum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Newscum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nicolás Maduro · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Pelosi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pelosi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Peptide

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Peptide

Open Kalshi ↗

Pope Leo XIV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Predict / Prediction

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Predict / Prediction

Open Kalshi ↗

Space Force

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Space Force · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Stephen Colbert

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Stephen Colbert

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Thomas Massie · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tucker Carlson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 85.0%

Tucker Carlson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Vladimir Putin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.6%

Vladimir Putin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Who are you with / Where are you from

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Who are you with / Where are you from · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9%

Xi Jinping

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.