Market comparison

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

1 venue · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

11 outcomes · $545K reported volume

Observed 3039h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jul 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Aleksandr Logunov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Aleksandr Logunov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alexander Efimov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alexander Efimov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hong Wang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Hong Wang Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jack Thorne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jack Thorne Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jacob Tsimerman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jacob Tsimerman Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Pardon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old John Pardon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Julian Sahasrabudhe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Julian Sahasrabudhe Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Raskin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sam Raskin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vesselin Dimitrov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Vesselin Dimitrov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Will Sawin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Will Sawin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yu Deng Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yu Deng Open Polymarket ↗	—

Aleksandr Logunov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Aleksandr Logunov

Open Polymarket ↗

Alexander Efimov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alexander Efimov

Open Polymarket ↗

Hong Wang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Hong Wang

Open Polymarket ↗

Jack Thorne

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jack Thorne

Open Polymarket ↗

Jacob Tsimerman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

84.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jacob Tsimerman

Open Polymarket ↗

John Pardon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

John Pardon

Open Polymarket ↗

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Open Polymarket ↗

Sam Raskin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sam Raskin

Open Polymarket ↗

Vesselin Dimitrov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Vesselin Dimitrov

Open Polymarket ↗

Will Sawin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Will Sawin

Open Polymarket ↗

Yu Deng

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yu Deng

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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