Market comparison

Who will win the next Lebanese general election?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 11, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will win the next Lebanese general election?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Amal Movement Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 6.4% · Ask 13.0% Amal Movement Open Kalshi ↗	—
Election Postponed Beyond Expiration Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0% Election Postponed Beyond Expiration Open Kalshi ↗	—
FPM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.1% FPM Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hezbollah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3% Hezbollah Open Kalshi ↗	—
Independence Movement Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% Independence Movement Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kataeb Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% Kataeb Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lebanese Forces Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 7.2% · Ask 16.0% Lebanese Forces Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marada Movement Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% Marada Movement Open Kalshi ↗	—
PSP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% PSP Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tashnag Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% Tashnag Open Kalshi ↗	—

Amal Movement

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 13.0%

Amal Movement

Open Kalshi ↗

Election Postponed Beyond Expiration

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0%

Election Postponed Beyond Expiration

Open Kalshi ↗

FPM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.1%

FPM

Open Kalshi ↗

Hezbollah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3%

Hezbollah

Open Kalshi ↗

Independence Movement

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

Independence Movement

Open Kalshi ↗

Kataeb

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

Kataeb

Open Kalshi ↗

Lebanese Forces

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 16.0%

Lebanese Forces

Open Kalshi ↗

Marada Movement

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

Marada Movement

Open Kalshi ↗

PSP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

PSP

Open Kalshi ↗

Tashnag

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

Tashnag

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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