The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $42K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2026

1 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Alabama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Alabama

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Connecticut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

Connecticut

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delaware

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 2.7%

Delaware

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Florida

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Florida · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Georgia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.7%

Georgia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hawaii

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

Hawaii

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Louisiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Louisiana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.1%

Maine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maryland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.6%

Maryland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Massachusetts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8%

Massachusetts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mississippi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.1%

Mississippi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Hampshire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.0%

New Hampshire

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Jersey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.5%

New Jersey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New York

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.6%

New York

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 6.4%

North Carolina

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rhode Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.6%

Rhode Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.3%

South Carolina

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Texas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.9%

Texas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.2%

Virginia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.