The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

claude-fable-5.1-max

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

claude-fable-5.1-max

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

claude-opus-5.5-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

claude-opus-5.5-high

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

gemini-4-argon-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0%

gemini-4-argon-high

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 17.6%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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