Market comparison

Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

87 outcomes · $92K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bruno Retailleau Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Christine Lagarde Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Christine Lagarde Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Christine Lagarde Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
David Lisnard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.6% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗ 11.6% Bid 10.5% · Ask 12.6% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dominique de Villepin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.6% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
douard Philippe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗ 29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
First-round winner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% First-round winner Open Kalshi ↗	—
François Hollande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗ 1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
François Ruffin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gabriel Attal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗ 0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.5% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗ 35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jordan Bardella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.9% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marine Le Pen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗ 11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marine Tondelier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raphaël Glucksmann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗ 11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
ric Zemmour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sarah Knafo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.1% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bruno Retailleau

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Bruno Retailleau

Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruno Retailleau

Polymarket

Kalshi

Christine Lagarde

Polymarket

Kalshi

David Lisnard

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dominique de Villepin

Polymarket

Kalshi

douard Philippe

Polymarket

Kalshi

First-round winner

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Hollande

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Ruffin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gabriel Attal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jordan Bardella

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Le Pen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Tondelier

Polymarket

Kalshi

Raphaël Glucksmann

Polymarket

Kalshi

ric Zemmour

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sarah Knafo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sébastien Lecornu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yes

Polymarket

Kalshi