The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?

2 venues · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $578K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Observed 33s ago

Observed 33s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

72,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

99.6%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 99.6%

72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

99.2%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.4%

72,000

Open Polymarket ↗

74,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

99.8%

Bid 99.7% · Ask 99.8%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

99.5%

Bid 99.4% · Ask 99.5%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

99.5%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 99.9%

74,000

Open Polymarket ↗

76,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.7%

Bid 98.5% · Ask 98.9%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

98.9%

Bid 98.7% · Ask 99.0%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

98.4%

Bid 97.8% · Ask 99.0%

76,000

Open Polymarket ↗

78,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

97.7%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 97.9%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

96.4%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 96.7%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

95.3%

Bid 94.2% · Ask 96.4%

78,000

Open Polymarket ↗

80,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.5%

Bid 82.4% · Ask 84.5%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

79.7%

Bid 78.9% · Ask 80.4%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

77.5%

Bid 76.8% · Ask 78.1%

80,000

Open Polymarket ↗

82,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

34.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

82,000

Open Polymarket ↗

84,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

84,000

Open Polymarket ↗

86,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.3%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.4%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

1.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.5%

86,000

Open Polymarket ↗

88,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.8%

88,000

Open Polymarket ↗

90,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7%

90,000

Open Polymarket ↗

92,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

92,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $250000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $250000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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