Market comparison

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

2 venues · 83 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

77 outcomes · $1.0M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $421K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alabama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alabama · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Alaska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alaska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Arizona Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Arkansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 67.0% Arkansas Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Before Apr 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Apr 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.2% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before May 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before May 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Belarus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 2.9% · Ask 6.7% Belarus Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
California Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.3% · Ask 100.0% California · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Canada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Canada Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% China · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Colorado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 62.0% Colorado Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Connecticut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Connecticut · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delaware Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Delaware · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Florida Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Florida · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
France Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% France · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Georgia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Germany Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Germany Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hawaii Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Hawaii Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Idaho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 41.0% Idaho Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Illinois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Illinois · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
India Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% India Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Indiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 69.0% Indiana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Iowa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Iowa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ireland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ireland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% Israel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Italy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Italy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Japan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Japan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 92.5% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kentucky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kentucky · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lebanon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Lebanon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Louisiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0% Louisiana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 56.0% Maine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maryland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Maryland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Massachusetts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 64.0% Massachusetts Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michigan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Michigan · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 82.0% Minnesota Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mississippi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.5% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0% Mississippi Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Missouri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0% Missouri Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Montana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Montana · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nebraska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nebraska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nevada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Hampshire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 55.0% New Hampshire Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Jersey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 93.8% · Ask 100.0% New Jersey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 53.0% New Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New York Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% New York · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% North Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ohio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ohio · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oklahoma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Oklahoma · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.8% Oman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oregon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.8% Bid 3.8% · Ask 29.8% Oregon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pakistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Pakistan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pennsylvania Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 98.4% · Ask 100.0% Pennsylvania · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Portugal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.7% Bid 3.4% · Ask 20.0% Portugal Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rhode Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 44.0% Rhode Island Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 9.1% Russia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Saudi Arabia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0% Saudi Arabia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% South Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% South Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% South Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Switzerland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Switzerland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Syria Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Syria Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Taiwan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.1% Taiwan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tennessee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Tennessee · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Texas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Texas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Turkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Turkey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 3.5% · Ask 7.7% Ukraine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
United Kingdom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% United Kingdom · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Utah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 49.0% Utah Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Venezuela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Venezuela Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vermont Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.1% Bid 2.5% · Ask 19.7% Vermont Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Virginia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 44.0% Washington Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
West Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 45.0% West Virginia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wisconsin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.4% · Ask 100.0% Wisconsin · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wyoming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 83.0% Wyoming Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alabama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Alabama · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alaska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Alaska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Arizona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Arizona · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Arkansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 67.0%

Arkansas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Before Apr 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Apr 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.2%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before May 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before May 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Belarus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 6.7%

Belarus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

California

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.3% · Ask 100.0%

California · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Canada

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

Canada

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

China · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Colorado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 62.0%

Colorado

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Connecticut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Connecticut · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delaware

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Delaware · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Florida

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Florida · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

France

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

France · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Georgia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Georgia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Germany

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hawaii

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Hawaii

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Idaho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 41.0%

Idaho

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Illinois

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Illinois · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

India

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

India

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Indiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 69.0%

Indiana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Iowa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Iowa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ireland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ireland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0%

Israel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Italy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Japan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Japan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 100.0%

Kansas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kentucky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Kentucky · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lebanon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Lebanon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Louisiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0%

Louisiana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 56.0%

Maine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maryland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Maryland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Massachusetts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 64.0%

Massachusetts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mexico

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michigan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Michigan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Minnesota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 82.0%

Minnesota

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mississippi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

95.5%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mississippi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Missouri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0%

Missouri

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Montana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Montana · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nebraska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Nebraska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nevada

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Nevada · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Hampshire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 55.0%

New Hampshire

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Jersey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 100.0%

New Jersey · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 53.0%

New Mexico

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New York

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

New York · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

North Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

North Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

North Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ohio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ohio · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oklahoma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Oklahoma · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 11.8%

Oman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oregon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.8%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 29.8%

Oregon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pakistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pakistan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pennsylvania

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 98.4% · Ask 100.0%

Pennsylvania · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Portugal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 20.0%

Portugal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rhode Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 44.0%

Rhode Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 9.1%

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Saudi Arabia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0%

Saudi Arabia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

South Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

South Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

South Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Switzerland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Switzerland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Syria

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Syria

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Taiwan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.1%

Taiwan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tennessee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Tennessee · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Texas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Texas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turkey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Turkey · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 7.7%

Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

United Kingdom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

United Kingdom · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Utah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 49.0%

Utah

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Venezuela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Venezuela

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vermont

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 19.7%

Vermont

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Virginia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Washington

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 44.0%

Washington

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

West Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 45.0%

West Virginia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wisconsin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.4% · Ask 100.0%

Wisconsin · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wyoming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 83.0%

Wyoming

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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