The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $231K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $153K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Yes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.9%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.6%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.7%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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