Market comparison

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

1 venue · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

6 outcomes · $69.8M reported volume

Observed 5373h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
January 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old January 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old June 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old June 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old March 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old March 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

January 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

January 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

June 30

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

June 30

Open Polymarket ↗

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

March 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

March 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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