Market comparison

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

66 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 23, 2028

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 22, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.7% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Andy Beshear Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Andy Beshear Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bernie Sanders Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Bernie Sanders Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AQ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AR · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate AS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate AS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cory Booker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.7% Bid 13.8% · Ask 17.6% Cory Booker Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.6% Gavin Newsom Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
J.B. Pritzker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.5% J.B. Pritzker Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James Talarico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5% James Talarico Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jon Ossoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Jon Ossoff Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jon Stewart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Jon Stewart Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Josh Shapiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Josh Shapiro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kamala Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Kamala Harris Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mark Kelly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7% Mark Kelly Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michelle Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9% Michelle Obama Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pete Buttigieg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8% Pete Buttigieg Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rahm Emanuel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5% Rahm Emanuel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raphael Warnock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Raphael Warnock Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ro Khanna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Ro Khanna Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Roy Cooper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Roy Cooper Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stephen A. Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Stephen A. Smith Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wes Moore Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6% Wes Moore Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 96.0% Yes Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Andy Beshear

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Andy Beshear

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bernie Sanders

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Bernie Sanders

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cory Booker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.7%

Bid 13.8% · Ask 17.6%

Cory Booker

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 13.6%

Gavin Newsom

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

J.B. Pritzker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.5%

J.B. Pritzker

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James Talarico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

James Talarico

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Jon Ossoff

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jon Stewart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Jon Stewart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Josh Shapiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Josh Shapiro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Kamala Harris

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mark Kelly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.7%

Mark Kelly

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michelle Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9%

Michelle Obama

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pete Buttigieg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8%

Pete Buttigieg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rahm Emanuel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5%

Rahm Emanuel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raphael Warnock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Raphael Warnock

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ro Khanna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Ro Khanna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Roy Cooper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Roy Cooper

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stephen A. Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Stephen A. Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wes Moore

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6%

Wes Moore

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 96.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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