Market comparison

Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
16-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0% 16-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 18.0% <16% Open Polymarket ↗	—
18-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 45.0% 18-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
20-22% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 35.0% 20-22% Open Polymarket ↗	—
22%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% 22%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
28-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 17.0% 28-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
28% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 47.0% <28% Open Polymarket ↗	—
30-32% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% 30-32% Open Polymarket ↗	—
32-34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 44.0% 32-34% Open Polymarket ↗	—
34-36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 37.0% 34-36% Open Polymarket ↗	—
36%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9% 36%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
At least 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0% At least 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—

16-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

16-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

16%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 18.0%

<16%

Open Polymarket ↗

18-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 45.0%

18-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

20-22%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 35.0%

20-22%

Open Polymarket ↗

22%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0%

22%+

Open Polymarket ↗

28-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 17.0%

28-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

28%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 47.0%

<28%

Open Polymarket ↗

30-32%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

30-32%

Open Polymarket ↗

32-34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 44.0%

32-34%

Open Polymarket ↗

34-36%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 37.0%

34-36%

Open Polymarket ↗

36%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9%

36%+

Open Polymarket ↗

At least 50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%

At least 50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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