Market comparison

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $4.4M reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $187K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 73.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% Before Jan 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 52.0% Before Oct 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
February 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% February 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
July 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% July 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% March 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 73.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 52.0%

Before Oct 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

February 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

February 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

July 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

July 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

March 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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