Market comparison

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $102K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 15, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $94K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
5.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1% ↓ 5.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8% ↓ 5.70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% ↓ 5.90% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 6.00% · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% ↓ 6.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.20% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% ↓ 6.25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.30% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.50% · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% ↓ 6.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.75% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 7.00% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 7.25% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 86.0% ↑ 7.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 6.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.2% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 92.4% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.5% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.4% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.7% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.8% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.9% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.2% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Above 7.30% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 78.0% Above 7.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 7.40% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 55.0% Above 7.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 43.0% Above 7.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 7.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0% Above 7.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 7.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.22% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0% Above 7.22% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.23% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0% Above 7.23% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.24% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0% Above 7.24% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0% Above 7.25% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.26% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 41.0% Above 7.26% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.27% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0% Above 7.27% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.28% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Above 7.28% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.29% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Above 7.29% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.31% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 7.31% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.32% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 7.32% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.33% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Above 7.33% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 7.34% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 7.35% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Above 7.36% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 7.37% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.38% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 7.38% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.39% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 7.39% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.41% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 7.41% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 8.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 8.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—

5.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1%

↓ 5.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8%

↓ 5.70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

↓ 5.90%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 6.00% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

↓ 6.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.20% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

↓ 6.25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.30% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.50% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

↓ 6.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.75% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 7.00% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 7.25% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 86.0%

↑ 7.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 6.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0%

Above 6.2% · closed

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.70%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.90%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.00%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.20%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.30%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.75%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.00%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.7%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.8%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.1%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.4%

Polymarket