Market comparison

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

2 venues · 49 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

47 outcomes · $583K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
0 to 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 0 to 4 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5 to 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5 to 9 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
10 to 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 10 to 14 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
15 to 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 15 to 19 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
20 to 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 20 to 24 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
25 to 49 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 25 to 49 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
50 to 99 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.9% 50 to 99 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
100 to 499 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 55.0% 100 to 499 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
500 to 999 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% 500 to 999 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1000 or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0% 1000 or more Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Aimee Bock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Aimee Bock Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bill Hwang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Bill Hwang Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bob Menendez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.0% Bob Menendez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Braden John Karony Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.0% Braden John Karony Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Charlie Javice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Charlie Javice Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 88.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Derek Chauvin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.5% Derek Chauvin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.1% Donald Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Edward Snowden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Edward Snowden Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Elizabeth Holmes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.2% Elizabeth Holmes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Eric Adams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3% Eric Adams Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ghislaine Maxwell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 4.3% · Ask 9.7% Ghislaine Maxwell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.7% Jared Kushner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jho Low Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Jho Low Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Kiriakou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% John Kiriakou Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joseph Maldonado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Joseph Maldonado Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Josh Wander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Josh Wander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Julian Assange Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.5% Julian Assange Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kenneth Petty Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.7% Kenneth Petty Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Keonne Rodriguez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 7.3% · Ask 15.0% Keonne Rodriguez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kimberly Guilfoyle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Kimberly Guilfoyle Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Larry Householder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 22.0% Larry Householder Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Leonard Glenn Francis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% Leonard Glenn Francis Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Martin Shkreli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.7% Bid 2.5% · Ask 7.7% Martin Shkreli Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Borges Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Matt Borges Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% Michael Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Nicolás Maduro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicole Daedone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Nicole Daedone Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 47.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rachel Cherwitz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.8% · Ask 15.0% Rachel Cherwitz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robin Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.0% Robin Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Roger Ver Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 7.4% Roger Ver Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sam Bankman-Fried Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Bankman-Fried Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sean Combs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Sean Combs Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Bannon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 6.1% · Ask 6.9% Steve Bannon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Buyer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Steve Buyer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tal Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.9% Tal Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tim Leissner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0% Tim Leissner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Torence Hatch Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9% Torence Hatch Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

0 to 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

0 to 4 · closed

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Kalshi

Polymarket

0 to 4

Kalshi

Polymarket

5 to 9

Kalshi

Polymarket

10 to 14

Kalshi

Polymarket

15 to 19

Kalshi

Polymarket

20 to 24

Kalshi

Polymarket

25 to 49

Kalshi

Polymarket

50 to 99

Kalshi

Polymarket

100 to 499

Kalshi

Polymarket

500 to 999

Kalshi

Polymarket

1000 or more

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aimee Bock

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bill Hwang

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bob Menendez

Kalshi

Polymarket

Braden John Karony

Kalshi

Polymarket

Charlie Javice

Kalshi

Polymarket

December 31

Kalshi

Polymarket

Derek Chauvin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donald Trump

Kalshi

Polymarket

Edward Snowden

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elizabeth Holmes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Eric Adams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ghislaine Maxwell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jared Kushner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jho Low

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Kiriakou

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joseph Maldonado

Kalshi