Market comparison

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2 venues · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $438K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Apr 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Feb 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Before Feb 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.1% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗ 89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗ 25.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before May 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before May 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.2% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—

Before Apr 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Apr 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Feb 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.1%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

25.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before May 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before May 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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