Market comparison

Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
110 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 24.9% ↓110 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
120 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% ↓120 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
130 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9% ↓130 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
140 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% ↓140 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
150 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% ↓150 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
160 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑160 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
165 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 41.0% ↑165 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
170 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% ↑170 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
175 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% ↑175 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
180 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0% ↑180 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
190 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% ↑190 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% ↑200 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Target price: 156.738 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Target price: 156.738 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

110

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 24.9%

↓110

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

120

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

↓120

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

130

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9%

↓130

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

140

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

↓140

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

150

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

↓150

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

160

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑160 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

165

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 41.0%

↑165

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

170

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

↑170

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

175

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

↑175

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

180

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0%

↑180

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

190

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

↑190

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

↑200

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Target price: 156.738

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Target price: 156.738 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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