Market comparison

Wisconsin Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $76K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Wisconsin Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Crowley 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Crowley 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crowley 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Crowley 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crowley 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Crowley 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crowley 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Crowley 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crowley 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.6% Crowley 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crowley, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0% Crowley, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 55.0% Crowley, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0% Crowley, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Crowley, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 33.0% Crowley, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Crowley, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Crowley, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.0% Crowley, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crowley, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.4% Crowley, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tiffany 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Tiffany 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tiffany 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.2% Tiffany 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tiffany 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0% Tiffany 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tiffany 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Tiffany 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tiffany 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Tiffany 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tiffany, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Tiffany, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tiffany, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.7% Tiffany, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Crowley 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Crowley 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Crowley 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Crowley 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Crowley 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Crowley 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Crowley 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Crowley 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Crowley 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.6%

Crowley 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Crowley, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0%

Crowley, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 55.0%

Crowley, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0%

Crowley, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Crowley, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 33.0%

Crowley, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Crowley, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Crowley, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.0%

Crowley, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crowley, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.4%

Crowley, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tiffany 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Tiffany 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Tiffany 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.2%

Tiffany 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Tiffany 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Tiffany 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Tiffany 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Tiffany 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Tiffany 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Tiffany 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Tiffany, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Tiffany, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tiffany, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.7%

Tiffany, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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