Market comparison

Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Berman, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Berman, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Berman, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0% Berman, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Berman, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.0% Berman, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 5.4% · Ask 11.3% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.7% Bid 10.6% · Ask 14.8% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.3% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.7% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Steil, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0% Steil, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steil, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Steil, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steil, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0% Steil, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steil, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0% Steil, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steil, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Steil, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steil, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Steil, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Berman, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Berman, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Berman, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0%

Berman, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Berman, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 20.0%

Berman, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 11.3%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.7%

Bid 10.6% · Ask 14.8%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.3%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.7%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Steil, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0%

Steil, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steil, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Steil, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steil, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0%

Steil, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steil, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 17.0%

Steil, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steil, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Steil, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steil, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Steil, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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