Market comparison

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cooke, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0% Cooke, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0% Cooke, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 35.0% Cooke, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0% Cooke, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0% Cooke, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.7% Cooke, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.5% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.5% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.9% · Ask 15.2% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.1% Bid 10.3% · Ask 11.8% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.6% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cooke, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0%

Cooke, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0%

Cooke, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 35.0%

Cooke, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0%

Cooke, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 14.0%

Cooke, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.7%

Cooke, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.5%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.5%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.9% · Ask 15.2%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 10.3% · Ask 11.8%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.6%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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