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What the markets expect
2,300-2,400 77.2%
Next is 2,400-2,500 at 20.4%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
2,300-2,40077.2%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)2,300-2,40077.2%Polymarket 100%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 59%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
2,300-2,400
77.2%
50%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
2,300-2,400
77.2%
Polymarket 100%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 59%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 50%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,300-2,400
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $172K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,300-2,400
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $3K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,300-2,400
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
2,400-2,50020.4%38.5%37¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)2,400-2,50020.4%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 42.5%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 38.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
2,400-2,500
20.4%
38.5%
37¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
2,400-2,500
20.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 42.5%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 38.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,400-2,500
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $224K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,400-2,500
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,400-2,500
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $351
2,250 to 2,499.9917.9%Not listed17.9%17.8¢ bid, 17.9¢ askpolled, 2 h ago17.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $559 (5.59x)2,250 to 2,499.9917.9%Kalshi 17.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 17.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $559 (5.59x)
2,250 to 2,499.99
17.9%
Not listed
17.9%
17.8¢ bid, 17.9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
17.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $559 (5.59x)
2,250 to 2,499.99
17.9%
Kalshi 17.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 17.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $559 (5.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,250 to 2,499.99
- Last price
- 17.9%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 17.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $559 (5.59x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
2,500 to 2,749.9916.4%Not listed16.4%15.5¢ bid, 16.5¢ askpolled, 2 h ago16.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $606 (6.06x)2,500 to 2,749.9916.4%Kalshi 16.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 16.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $606 (6.06x)
2,500 to 2,749.99
16.4%
Not listed
16.4%
15.5¢ bid, 16.5¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
16.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $606 (6.06x)
2,500 to 2,749.99
16.4%
Kalshi 16.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 16.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $606 (6.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,500 to 2,749.99
- Last price
- 16.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 15.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $606 (6.06x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
2,000 to 2,249.9915.7%Not listed15.7%14.9¢ bid, 15.7¢ askpolled, 2 h ago15.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $637 (6.37x)2,000 to 2,249.9915.7%Kalshi 15.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $637 (6.37x)
2,000 to 2,249.99
15.7%
Not listed
15.7%
14.9¢ bid, 15.7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
15.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $637 (6.37x)
2,000 to 2,249.99
15.7%
Kalshi 15.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $637 (6.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,000 to 2,249.99
- Last price
- 15.7%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 14.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $637 (6.37x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
2,750 to 2,999.9912.1%Not listed12.1%12.1¢ bid, 12.2¢ askpolled, 2 h ago12.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $820 (8.20x)2,750 to 2,999.9912.1%Kalshi 12.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
2,750 to 2,999.99
12.1%
Not listed
12.1%
12.1¢ bid, 12.2¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
12.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $820 (8.20x)
2,750 to 2,999.99
12.1%
Kalshi 12.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,750 to 2,999.99
- Last price
- 12.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 12.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $820 (8.20x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
3,000 to 3,249.998.5%Not listed8.5%8.4¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 2 h ago8.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)3,000 to 3,249.998.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
3,000 to 3,249.99
8.5%
Not listed
8.5%
8.4¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
8.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
3,000 to 3,249.99
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,000 to 3,249.99
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
1,750 to 1,999.997.1%Not listed7.1%7¢ bid, 7.1¢ askpolled, 2 h ago7.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)1,750 to 1,999.997.1%Kalshi 7.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
1,750 to 1,999.99
7.1%
Not listed
7.1%
7¢ bid, 7.1¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
7.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
1,750 to 1,999.99
7.1%
Kalshi 7.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,750 to 1,999.99
- Last price
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,408 (14.1x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
2,200-2,3004.5%7.9%4.8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,200-2,3004.5%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 7.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,200-2,300
4.5%
7.9%
4.8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,200-2,300
4.5%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 7.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,200-2,300
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,200-2,300
- Last price
- 7.9%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $2K
1,500 to 1,749.993.6%Not listed3.6%3.6¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 2 h ago3.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)1,500 to 1,749.993.6%Kalshi 3.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
1,500 to 1,749.99
3.6%
Not listed
3.6%
3.6¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
3.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
1,500 to 1,749.99
3.6%
Kalshi 3.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,500 to 1,749.99
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $1.0M
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
5,000 or above3.3%Not listed3.3%3.2¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 2 h ago3.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)5,000 or above3.3%Kalshi 3.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
5,000 or above
3.3%
Not listed
3.3%
3.2¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
3.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
5,000 or above
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5,000 or above
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $865K
2,500-2,6003.2%5%1.6¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)2,500-2,6003.2%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
2,500-2,600
3.2%
5%
1.6¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
2,500-2,600
3.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,500-2,600
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,500-2,600
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
3,250 to 3,499.993%Not listed3%2.9¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 2 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,250 to 3,499.993%Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,250 to 3,499.99
3%
Not listed
3%
2.9¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,250 to 3,499.99
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,250 to 3,499.99
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $120K
3,750 to 3,999.993%Not listed3%3¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 2 h ago3.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)3,750 to 3,999.993%Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
3,750 to 3,999.99
3%
Not listed
3%
3¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
3.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
3,750 to 3,999.99
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,750 to 3,999.99
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $52K
3,500 to 3,749.992.2%Not listed2.2%2.1¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 2 h ago2.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)3,500 to 3,749.992.2%Kalshi 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
3,500 to 3,749.99
2.2%
Not listed
2.2%
2.1¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
2.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
3,500 to 3,749.99
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,500 to 3,749.99
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $70K
999.99 or below2.2%Not listed2.2%2.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 2 h ago2.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)999.99 or below2.2%Kalshi 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
999.99 or below
2.2%
Not listed
2.2%
2.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
2.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
999.99 or below
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 999.99 or below
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $999K
1,250 to 1,499.992%Not listed2%1.8¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 2 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)1,250 to 1,499.992%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
1,250 to 1,499.99
2%
Not listed
2%
1.8¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
1,250 to 1,499.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,250 to 1,499.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1.0M
1,000 to 1,249.991.4%Not listed1.4%1¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)1,000 to 1,249.991.4%Kalshi 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
1,000 to 1,249.99
1.4%
Not listed
1.4%
1¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
1,000 to 1,249.99
1.4%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,000 to 1,249.99
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $955K
2,100-2,2001.3%1.4%0.1¢ bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)2,100-2,2001.3%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
2,100-2,200
1.3%
1.4%
0.1¢ bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
2,100-2,200
1.3%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,100-2,200
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $973
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,100-2,200
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
- Volume
- $420
2,600-2,7001.1%1.9%1¢ bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)2,600-2,7001.1%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
2,600-2,700
1.1%
1.9%
1¢ bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
2,600-2,700
1.1%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,600-2,700
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $347
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,600-2,700
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
2,800-2,9001.1%1.4%0.2¢ bid, 2.6¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)2,800-2,9001.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
2,800-2,900
1.1%
1.4%
0.2¢ bid, 2.6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
2,800-2,900
1.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,800-2,900
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $25
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,800-2,900
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,846 (38.5x)
- Volume
- $375
4,000 to 4,249.990.8%Not listed0.8%0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 2 h ago0.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $12,500 (125x)4,000 to 4,249.990.8%Kalshi 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
4,000 to 4,249.99
0.8%
Not listed
0.8%
0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
0.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
4,000 to 4,249.99
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4,000 to 4,249.99
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $52K
2,000-2,1000.8%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)2,000-2,1000.8%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
2,000-2,100
0.8%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
2,000-2,100
0.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,000-2,100
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $224
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,000-2,100
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $10
2,0000.6%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)2,0000.6%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
2,000
0.6%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
2,000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,000
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $4K
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,000
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $420
4,500 to 4,749.990.6%Not listed0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 2 h ago0.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $16,667 (167x)4,500 to 4,749.990.6%Kalshi 0.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
4,500 to 4,749.99
0.6%
Not listed
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
0.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
4,500 to 4,749.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4,500 to 4,749.99
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $51K
4,250 to 4,499.990.4%Not listed0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 2 h ago0.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $25,000 (250x)4,250 to 4,499.990.4%Kalshi 0.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
4,250 to 4,499.99
0.4%
Not listed
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
0.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
4,250 to 4,499.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4,250 to 4,499.99
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $33K
2,9000.3%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)2,9000.3%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
2,900
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
2,900
0.3%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,900
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $589
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,900
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $1K
2,700-2,8000.3%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 2 h agoNot listed0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)2,700-2,8000.3%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
2,700-2,800
0.3%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
Not listed
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
2,700-2,800
0.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 h agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,700-2,800
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $695
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2,700-2,800
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $370
4,750 to 4,999.990.2%Not listed0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 2 h ago0.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $50,000 (500x)4,750 to 4,999.990.2%Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
4,750 to 4,999.99
0.2%
Not listed
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
0.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
4,750 to 4,999.99
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4,750 to 4,999.99
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $56K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 2,300-2,400
- 2,400-2,500
- 2,250 to 2,499.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list 2,300-2,400 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ethereum price at the end of 2026". 2,300-2,400 leads at 77.2%. Next is 2,400-2,500 at 20.4%. $12.7M has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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