Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Hottest
$68K volume
30.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 13m ago
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Live prediction market odds for "Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?". Hottest is leading at 30.0%. Total volume is $68K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Hottest
30.0%
Total Vol
$68K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?". Hottest is leading at 30.0%. Total volume is $68K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
55%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.064 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
364h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
364h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
WATCH — Why El Niño could make 2026 the hottest year ever recorded | videoclip | Kids News - CBC
CBC·12d ago·neutral
WATCH — Why El Niño could make 2026 the hottest year ever recorded
Bing News·12d ago·bullish
Earth being ‘pushed beyond its limits’ as energy imbalance reaches record high | Oceans - The Guardian
The Guardian·13d ago·neutral
Earth’s climate swings increasingly out of balance - World Meteorological Organization WMO
World Meteorological Organization WMO·13d ago·neutral
The world just lived through the 11 hottest years on record — what now?
Bing News·13d ago·neutral
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