Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2027
$116K volume
7.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated just now
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 7.0%. Total volume is $116K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Before 2027
7.0%
Total Vol
$116K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 7.0%. Total volume is $116K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5860h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5860h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
The DEATH BETS Act: Vital Legislation or Hollow Performance? - Gaming America
Gaming America·25d ago·neutral
Cluster of earthquakes rattle Bay Area on Monday - The Desert Sun
The Desert Sun·62d ago·neutral
Fact or Fiction: New California law requires kids 8-16 to sit in booster seat? - 10News.com
10News.com·132d ago·neutral
New French program: Union requests postponement until 2027 - CTV News
CTV News·219d ago·neutral
The next 'Big One' on the San Andreas fault might not be the earthquake we expect, researchers say - Los Angeles Times
Los Angeles Times·237d ago·neutral
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