Alabama Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Barry Moore99%
- Everett Wess2%
Polymarket
- Barry Moore99%
- Everett Wess1%
Venue gap 0.2 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Alabama
Alabama 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Alabama's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 7 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Alabama Governor
Safe RKalshi
- Tommy Tuberville94%
- Doug Jones6%
Polymarket
- Tommy Tuberville95%
- Doug Jones5%
Venue gap 1.2 ptsCompare odds →
Alabama House races
Every Alabama district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL-01 | Safe R | Jerry Carl98% | Jerry Carl97% | 1.2 pts | Odds → |
| AL-02 | Lean R | Rhett Marques72% | Rhett Marques71% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| AL-03 | Safe R | Mike Rogers99% | Mike Rogers98% | 1.7 pts | Odds → |
| AL-04 | Safe R | Robert Aderholt99% | Robert Aderholt99% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| AL-05 | Safe R | Dale Strong97% | Dale Strong95% | 1.4 pts | Odds → |
| AL-06 | Safe R | Gary Palmer98% | Gary Palmer96% | 1.4 pts | Odds → |
| AL-07 | Safe D | Terri Sewell99% | Terri Sewell98% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
Alabama midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
- Barry Moore (Republican) is favoured to win the Alabama Senate race, at 99% on Kalshi and 99% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
- Tommy Tuberville (Republican) is favoured to win the Alabama governor race, at 94% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.
- Which Alabama House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate AL-02 as toss-up or lean races.