Alaska Senate
FlipLikely D
Kalshi
- Democratic party76%
- Republican party25%
Polymarket
- Mary Peltola75%
- Sen. Dan Sullivan26%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Alaska
Alaska 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Alaska's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 1 House district. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Alaska Governor
FlipLikely DKalshi
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins90%
- Bernadette Wilson10%
Polymarket
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins88%
- Bernadette Wilson12%
Venue gap 1.9 ptsCompare odds →
Alaska House races
Every Alaska district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-AL | Likely R | Not listed | Republican Party79% | — | Odds → |
Alaska midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Mary Peltola (Democrat) is favoured to win the Alaska Senate race, at 75% on Kalshi and 75% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Alaska governor race in 2026?
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) is favoured to win the Alaska governor race, at 90% on Kalshi and 88% on Polymarket.
- Which Alaska House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Alaska House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.