2026 midterms · Hawaii
Hawaii 2026 Election Odds
Live 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket odds for Hawaii's 2026 races — governor and 2 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Hawaii Governor
Safe DKalshi
- Josh Green98%
- Gary Cordery2%
Polymarket
- Josh Green99%
- Gary Cordery1%
Venue gap 0.3 ptsCompare odds → Hawaii House races
Every Hawaii district with a market on either venue.
Hawaii House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| HI-01 | Safe D | Not listed | Ed Case96% | — | Odds → |
|---|
| HI-02 | Safe D | Jill Tokuda96% | Jill Tokuda96% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
|---|
Hawaii midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
- Josh Green (Democrat) is favoured to win the Hawaii governor race, at 98% on Kalshi and 99% on Polymarket.
- Which Hawaii House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Hawaii House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.