2026 midterms · Idaho
Idaho 2026 Election Odds
Live
Kalshi and
Polymarket odds for Idaho's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 2 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Idaho Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Jim Risch96%
- Todd Achilles6%
Polymarket
- Jim Risch97%
- Todd Achilles4%
Venue gap 0.9 ptsCompare odds → Idaho Governor
Safe R
Kalshi
- Brad Little98%
- Terri Pickens4%
Polymarket
- Brad Little98%
- Terri Pickens2%
Venue gap 0.1 ptsCompare odds → Idaho House races
Every Idaho district with a market on either venue.
Idaho House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| ID-01 | Safe R | Not listed | Russ Fulcher96% | — | Odds → |
|---|
| ID-02 | Safe R | Mike Simpson96% | Mike Simpson98% | 2.1 pts | Odds → |
|---|
Idaho midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
- Jim Risch (Republican) is favoured to win the Idaho Senate race, at 96% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
- Brad Little (Republican) is favoured to win the Idaho governor race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
- Which Idaho House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Idaho House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.