Kentucky Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Andy Barr97%
- Charles Booker3%
Polymarket
- Andy Barr97%
- Charles Booker3%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Kentucky
Kentucky 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Kentucky's 2026 races — Senate and 6 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Kentucky House races
Every Kentucky district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KY-01 | Safe R | James Comer97% | James Comer97% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| KY-02 | Safe R | Brett Guthrie98% | Brett Guthrie96% | 2.1 pts | Odds → |
| KY-03 | Safe D | Morgan McGarvey98% | Morgan McGarvey98% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| KY-04 | Safe R | Ed Gallrein95% | Ed Gallrein96% | 0.7 pts | Odds → |
| KY-05 | Safe R | Hal Rogers98% | Hal Rogers97% | 0.4 pts | Odds → |
| KY-06 | Toss-up | Ralph Alvarado56% | Ralph Alvarado54% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
Kentucky midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
- Andy Barr (Republican) is favoured to win the Kentucky Senate race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Which Kentucky House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate KY-06 as toss-up or lean races.