Who will win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Roger Marshall (Republican) is favoured to win the Kansas Senate race, at 62% on Kalshi and 63% on Polymarket.

Who will win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Ty Masterson (Republican) is favoured to win the Kansas governor race, at 76% on Kalshi and 74% on Polymarket.

Prediction markets don't rate any Kansas House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.

2026 midterms · Kansas

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Kansas's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 4 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Lean R

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →

FlipLean R

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 2.5 ptsCompare odds →

Every Kansas district with a market on either venue.

Kansas House races
District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
KS-01	Safe R	Tracey Mann94%	Tracey Mann96%	2.0 pts	Odds →
KS-02	Likely R	Derek Schmidt82%	Derek Schmidt79%	3.0 pts	Odds →
KS-03	Safe D	Sharice Davids96%	Sharice Davids95%	0.6 pts	Odds →
KS-04	Safe R	Ron Estes97%	Ron Estes96%	0.7 pts	Odds →

Who will win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?: Roger Marshall (Republican) is favoured to win the Kansas Senate race, at 62% on Kalshi and 63% on Polymarket.
Who will win the Kansas governor race in 2026?: Ty Masterson (Republican) is favoured to win the Kansas governor race, at 76% on Kalshi and 74% on Polymarket.
Which Kansas House races are competitive in 2026?: Prediction markets don't rate any Kansas House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.