2026 midterms · Maine
Maine 2026 Election Odds
Live
Kalshi and
Polymarket odds for Maine's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 2 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Maine Senate
FlipLean D
Kalshi
- Troy Jackson66%
- Susan Collins35%
Polymarket
- Troy Jackson67%
- Susan Collins33%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds → Maine Governor
Safe D
Kalshi
- Hannah Pingree95%
- Robert Charles5%
Polymarket
- Hannah Pingree95%
- Robert Charles5%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds → Maine House races
Every Maine district with a market on either venue.
Maine House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| ME-01 | Safe D | Chellie Pingree96% | Chellie Pingree96% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| ME-02 | Toss-up | Paul LePage58% | Paul LePage55% | 3.0 pts | Odds → |
|---|
Maine midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
- Troy Jackson (Democrat) is favoured to win the Maine Senate race, at 66% on Kalshi and 67% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Maine governor race in 2026?
- Hannah Pingree (Democrat) is favoured to win the Maine governor race, at 95% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.
- Which Maine House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate ME-02 as toss-up or lean races.