Maryland Governor
Safe D
Kalshi
- Wes Moore98%
- Dan Cox3%
Polymarket
- Wes Moore98%
- Dan Cox2%
Venue gap 0.1 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Maryland
Maryland 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Maryland's 2026 races — governor and 8 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Maryland House races
Every Maryland district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD-01 | Likely R | Andy Harris77% | Andy Harris79% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
| MD-02 | Safe D | Johnny Olszewski98% | Johnny Olszewski96% | 2.1 pts | Odds → |
| MD-03 | Safe D | Sarah Elfreth98% | Sarah Elfreth97% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| MD-04 | Safe D | Not listed | Glenn Ivey98% | — | Odds → |
| MD-05 | Safe D | Not listed | Adrian Boafo96% | — | Odds → |
| MD-06 | Safe D | April McClain Delaney97% | April McClain Delaney95% | 1.4 pts | Odds → |
| MD-07 | Safe D | Not listed | Kweisi Mfume97% | — | Odds → |
| MD-08 | Safe D | Not listed | Jamie Raskin97% | — | Odds → |
Maryland midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
- Wes Moore (Democrat) is favoured to win the Maryland governor race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
- Which Maryland House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Maryland House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.