Minnesota Senate
Likely D
Kalshi
- Peggy Flanagan87%
- Michele Tafoya15%
Polymarket
- Peggy Flanagan89%
- Michele Tafoya12%
Venue gap 2.0 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Minnesota
Minnesota 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Minnesota's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 8 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Minnesota Governor
Safe DKalshi
- Amy Klobuchar95%
- Lisa Demuth5%
Polymarket
- Amy Klobuchar95%
- Lisa Demuth5%
Venue gap 0.2 ptsCompare odds →
Minnesota House races
Every Minnesota district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MN-01 | Lean R | Brad Finstad67% | Brad Finstad65% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
| MN-02 | Safe D | Matt Little96% | Matt Little95% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
| MN-03 | Safe D | Kelly Morrison99% | Kelly Morrison97% | 1.7 pts | Odds → |
| MN-04 | Safe D | Betty McCollum97% | Betty McCollum96% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
| MN-05 | Safe D | Ilhan Omar95% | Ilhan Omar96% | 1.1 pts | Odds → |
| MN-06 | Safe R | Tom Emmer95% | Tom Emmer97% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
| MN-07 | Safe R | Michelle Fischbach96% | Michelle Fischbach95% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| MN-08 | Likely R | Pete Stauber82% | Pete Stauber81% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
Minnesota midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
- Peggy Flanagan (Democrat) is favoured to win the Minnesota Senate race, at 87% on Kalshi and 89% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
- Amy Klobuchar (Democrat) is favoured to win the Minnesota governor race, at 95% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.
- Which Minnesota House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate MN-01 as toss-up or lean races.