Michigan 2026 Election Odds

Michigan House races

Every Michigan district with a market on either venue.

Michigan House races

District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
MI-01	Likely R	Jack Bergman89%	Jack Bergman88%	1.5 pts	Odds →
MI-02	Safe R	John Moolenaar97%	John Moolenaar98%	0.7 pts	Odds →
MI-03	Safe D	Hillary Scholten95%	Hillary Scholten95%	0.2 pts	Odds →
MI-04	Lean D	Sean McCann65%	Sean McCann63%	2.5 pts	Odds →
MI-05	Safe R	Tim Walberg94%	Tim Walberg95%	1.1 pts	Odds →
MI-06	Safe D	Debbie Dingell99%	Debbie Dingell97%	1.8 pts	Odds →
MI-07	Lean D	William Lawrence73%	William Lawrence75%	2.0 pts	Odds →
MI-08	Safe D	Kristen McDonald Rivet95%	Kristen McDonald Rivet95%	0.3 pts	Odds →
MI-09	Safe R	Lisa McClain96%	Lisa McClain96%	0.2 pts	Odds →
MI-10	Lean D	Christina Hines71%	Christina Hines71%	0.0 pts	Odds →
MI-11	Safe D	Jeremy Moss98%	Jeremy Moss96%	1.5 pts	Odds →
MI-12	Safe D	Rashida Tlaib98%	Rashida Tlaib98%	0.0 pts	Odds →
MI-13	Safe D	Donavan McKinney96%	Donavan McKinney98%	1.9 pts	Odds →

Michigan midterms: common questions

Who will win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Abdul El-Sayed (Democrat) is favoured to win the Michigan Senate race, at 70% on Kalshi and 71% on Polymarket.

Who will win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Jocelyn Benson (Democrat) is favoured to win the Michigan governor race, at 93% on Kalshi and 94% on Polymarket.

Which Michigan House races are competitive in 2026?

Prediction markets rate MI-04, MI-07, MI-10 as toss-up or lean races.