2026 midterms · Missouri
Missouri 2026 Election Odds
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Kalshi and 
Polymarket odds for Missouri's 2026 races and 8 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Missouri has no Senate or governor race with a market in 2026.
Missouri House races
Every Missouri district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MO-01 | Safe D | Wesley Bell97% | Wesley Bell98% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| MO-02 | Lean R | Ann Wagner66% | Ann Wagner66% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| MO-03 | Safe R | Bob Onder96% | Bob Onder96% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
| MO-04 | Safe R | Mark Alford97% | Mark Alford96% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| MO-05 | Safe D | Emanuel Cleaver97% | Emanuel Cleaver97% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
| MO-06 | Safe R | Chris Stigall96% | Chris Stigall96% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| MO-07 | Safe R | Eric Burlison99% | Eric Burlison98% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| MO-08 | Safe R | Not listed | Jason Smith97% | — | Odds → |
Missouri midterms: common questions
- Which Missouri House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate MO-02 as toss-up or lean races.