2026 midterms · Montana
Montana 2026 Election Odds
Live 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket odds for Montana's 2026 races — Senate and 2 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Montana Senate
Safe RKalshi
- Kurt Alme93%
- Seth Bodnar8%
Polymarket
- Kurt Alme93%
- Independent7%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds → Montana House races
Every Montana district with a market on either venue.
Montana House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| MT-01 | Toss-up | Aaron Flint56% | Aaron Flint54% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
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| MT-02 | Safe R | Troy Downing97% | Troy Downing98% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
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Montana midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
- Kurt Alme (Republican) is favoured to win the Montana Senate race, at 93% on Kalshi and 93% on Polymarket.
- Which Montana House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate MT-01 as toss-up or lean races.