Who will win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Ben Ray Luján (Democrat) is favoured to win the New Mexico Senate race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.

Who will win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

Deb Haaland (Democrat) is favoured to win the New Mexico governor race, at 94% on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket.

Prediction markets don't rate any New Mexico House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.

2026 midterms · New Mexico

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for New Mexico's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 3 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Safe D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 0.3 ptsCompare odds →

Safe D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 1.4 ptsCompare odds →

Every New Mexico district with a market on either venue.

New Mexico House races
District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
NM-01	Safe D	Melanie Stansbury96%	Melanie Stansbury95%	0.1 pts	Odds →
NM-02	Safe D	Gabe Vasquez91%	Gabe Vasquez92%	0.9 pts	Odds →
NM-03	Safe D	Teresa Leger Fernández96%	Teresa Leger Fernández96%	0.2 pts	Odds →

Who will win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?: Ben Ray Luján (Democrat) is favoured to win the New Mexico Senate race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
Who will win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?: Deb Haaland (Democrat) is favoured to win the New Mexico governor race, at 94% on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket.
Which New Mexico House races are competitive in 2026?: Prediction markets don't rate any New Mexico House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.