North Carolina Senate
FlipSafe D
Kalshi
- Roy Cooper96%
- Michael Whatley4%
Polymarket
- Roy Cooper97%
- Michael Whatley4%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · North Carolina
North Carolina 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for North Carolina's 2026 races — Senate and 14 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
North Carolina House races
Every North Carolina district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-01 | Likely D | Don Davis80% | Don Davis82% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| NC-02 | Safe D | Deborah Ross99% | Deborah Ross99% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| NC-03 | Likely R | Greg Murphy79% | Greg Murphy80% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| NC-04 | Safe D | Not listed | Valerie Foushee97% | — | Odds → |
| NC-05 | Likely R | Virginia Foxx89% | Virginia Foxx88% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| NC-06 | Safe R | Addison McDowell90% | Addison McDowell91% | 0.9 pts | Odds → |
| NC-07 | Likely R | David Rouzer81% | David Rouzer80% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| NC-08 | Safe R | Not listed | Mark Harris96% | — | Odds → |
| NC-09 | Likely R | Richard Hudson78% | Richard Hudson78% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
| NC-10 | Safe R | Pat Harrigan94% | Pat Harrigan95% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
| NC-11 | Likely D | Jamie Ager82% | Jamie Ager84% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| NC-12 | Safe D | Alma Adams96% | Alma Adams97% | 0.8 pts | Odds → |
| NC-13 | Likely R | Brad Knott83% | Brad Knott82% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
| NC-14 | Likely R | Tim Moore89% | Tim Moore90% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
North Carolina midterms: common questions
- Who will win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- Roy Cooper (Democrat) is favoured to win the North Carolina Senate race, at 96% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Which North Carolina House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any North Carolina House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.