Ohio 2026 Election Odds

Ohio House races

Every Ohio district with a market on either venue.

Ohio House races

District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
OH-01	Safe D	Greg Landsman95%	Greg Landsman96%	0.3 pts	Odds →
OH-02	Safe R	David Taylor97%	David Taylor97%	0.5 pts	Odds →
OH-03	Safe D	Joyce Beatty99%	Joyce Beatty97%	1.8 pts	Odds →
OH-04	Safe R	Jim Jordan96%	Jim Jordan95%	1.4 pts	Odds →
OH-05	Safe R	Bob Latta96%	Bob Latta96%	0.4 pts	Odds →
OH-06	Safe R	Michael Rulli96%	Michael Rulli97%	0.7 pts	Odds →
OH-07	Likely D	Brian Poindexter88%	Brian Poindexter90%	1.5 pts	Odds →
OH-08	Safe R	Warren Davidson92%	Warren Davidson93%	1.1 pts	Odds →
OH-09	Likely D	Marcy Kaptur76%	Marcy Kaptur77%	1.0 pts	Odds →
OH-10	Lean R	Mike Turner66%	Mike Turner66%	0.5 pts	Odds →
OH-11	Safe D	Shontel Brown96%	Shontel Brown98%	1.4 pts	Odds →
OH-12	Safe R	Troy Balderson96%	Troy Balderson96%	0.5 pts	Odds →
OH-13	Safe D	Emilia Sykes96%	Emilia Sykes96%	0.5 pts	Odds →
OH-14	Safe R	David Joyce96%	David Joyce96%	0.9 pts	Odds →
OH-15	Lean R	Mike Carey64%	Mike Carey62%	2.5 pts	Odds →

Ohio midterms: common questions

Who will win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sherrod Brown (Democrat) is favoured to win the Ohio Senate race, at 68% on Kalshi and 71% on Polymarket.

Who will win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Amy Acton (Democrat) is favoured to win the Ohio governor race, at 82% on Kalshi and 81% on Polymarket.

Which Ohio House races are competitive in 2026?

Prediction markets rate OH-10, OH-15 as toss-up or lean races.