Oklahoma Senate
Safe R
Kalshi
- Kevin Hern98%
- N’Kiyla Thomas3%
Polymarket
- Kevin Hern97%
- N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas2%
Venue gap 0.2 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Oklahoma
Oklahoma 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Oklahoma's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 5 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Oklahoma Governor
Safe RKalshi
- Mike Mazzei90%
- Cyndi Munson11%
Polymarket
- Mike Mazzei91%
- Cyndi Munson9%
Venue gap 0.8 ptsCompare odds →
Oklahoma House races
Every Oklahoma district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OK-01 | Safe R | Mark Tedford95% | Mark Tedford98% | 2.7 pts | Odds → |
| OK-02 | Safe R | Josh Brecheen98% | Josh Brecheen98% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
| OK-03 | Safe R | Frank Lucas98% | Frank Lucas96% | 1.7 pts | Odds → |
| OK-04 | Safe R | Tom Cole96% | Tom Cole96% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
| OK-05 | Likely R | Stephanie Bice85% | Stephanie Bice85% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
Oklahoma midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
- Kevin Hern (Republican) is favoured to win the Oklahoma Senate race, at 98% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
- Mike Mazzei (Republican) is favoured to win the Oklahoma governor race, at 90% on Kalshi and 91% on Polymarket.
- Which Oklahoma House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Oklahoma House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.