Who will win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?

Josh Shapiro (Democrat) is favoured to win the Pennsylvania governor race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.

Which Pennsylvania House races are competitive in 2026?

Prediction markets rate PA-01 as toss-up or lean races.

2026 midterms · Pennsylvania

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Pennsylvania's 2026 races — governor and 17 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Safe D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 0.1 ptsCompare odds →

Every Pennsylvania district with a market on either venue.

Pennsylvania House races
District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
PA-01	Lean R	Brian Fitzpatrick62%	Brian Fitzpatrick59%	3.0 pts	Odds →
PA-02	Safe D	Not listed	Brendan Boyle96%	—	Odds →
PA-03	Safe D	Chris Rabb99%	Chris Rabb98%	1.3 pts	Odds →
PA-04	Safe D	Madeleine Dean95%	Madeleine Dean96%	1.1 pts	Odds →
PA-05	Safe D	Mary Gay Scanlon99%	Mary Gay Scanlon98%	0.4 pts	Odds →
PA-06	Safe D	Chrissy Houlahan96%	Chrissy Houlahan98%	1.2 pts	Odds →
PA-07	Likely D	Bob Brooks87%	Bob Brooks87%	0.5 pts	Odds →
PA-08	Likely D	Paige Cognetti81%	Paige Cognetti80%	1.5 pts	Odds →
PA-09	Safe R	Dan Meuser96%	Dan Meuser96%	0.5 pts	Odds →
PA-10	Likely D	Janelle Stelson83%	Janelle Stelson82%	1.5 pts	Odds →
PA-11	Safe R	Lloyd Smucker94%	Lloyd Smucker94%	0.5 pts	Odds →
PA-12	Safe D	Summer Lee99%	Summer Lee97%	1.6 pts	Odds →
PA-13	Safe R	John Joyce96%	John Joyce96%	0.4 pts	Odds →
PA-14	Safe R	Guy Reschenthaler94%	Guy Reschenthaler97%	3.2 pts	Odds →
PA-15	Safe R	Glenn Thompson96%	Glenn Thompson96%	0.4 pts	Odds →
PA-16	Safe R	Mike Kelly94%	Mike Kelly95%	1.0 pts	Odds →
PA-17	Safe D	Chris Deluzio95%	Chris Deluzio96%	0.8 pts	Odds →

Who will win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?: Josh Shapiro (Democrat) is favoured to win the Pennsylvania governor race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
Which Pennsylvania House races are competitive in 2026?: Prediction markets rate PA-01 as toss-up or lean races.