Oregon Senate
Safe D
Kalshi
- Jeff Merkley99%
- David Brock Smith1%
Polymarket
- Jeff Merkley98%
- David Brock Smith2%
Venue gap 0.6 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Oregon
Oregon 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Oregon's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 6 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Oregon Governor
Likely DKalshi
- Tina Kotek82%
- Christine Drazan18%
Polymarket
- Tina Kotek84%
- Christine Drazan17%
Venue gap 2.0 ptsCompare odds →
Oregon House races
Every Oregon district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR-01 | Safe D | Not listed | Suzanne Bonamici96% | — | Odds → |
| OR-02 | Safe R | Cliff Bentz96% | Cliff Bentz95% | 1.2 pts | Odds → |
| OR-03 | Safe D | Not listed | Maxine Dexter96% | — | Odds → |
| OR-04 | Safe D | Val Hoyle97% | Val Hoyle96% | 0.7 pts | Odds → |
| OR-05 | Safe D | Janelle Bynum96% | Janelle Bynum96% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| OR-06 | Safe D | Andrea Salinas98% | Andrea Salinas97% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
Oregon midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
- Jeff Merkley (Democrat) is favoured to win the Oregon Senate race, at 99% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
- Tina Kotek (Democrat) is favoured to win the Oregon governor race, at 82% on Kalshi and 84% on Polymarket.
- Which Oregon House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Oregon House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.