2026 midterms · South Carolina
South Carolina 2026 Election Odds
Live
Kalshi and
Polymarket odds for South Carolina's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 7 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
South Carolina Senate
Likely R
Kalshi
Polymarket
- Darline Graham Nordone82%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds → South Carolina Governor
Safe R
Kalshi
- Alan Wilson93%
- Jermaine Johnson7%
Polymarket
- Alan Wilson93%
- Jermaine Johnson7%
Venue gap 0.9 ptsCompare odds → South Carolina House races
Every South Carolina district with a market on either venue.
South Carolina House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|
| SC-01 | Lean R | Jenny Costa Honeycutt67% | Jenny Costa Honeycutt65% | 2.5 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-02 | Likely R | Joe Wilson84% | Joe Wilson84% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-03 | Unrated | Sheri Biggs98% | Not listed | — | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-04 | Unrated | William Timmons94% | Not listed | — | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-05 | Unrated | Wes Climer93% | Not listed | — | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-06 | Unrated | Jim Clyburn97% | Not listed | — | Odds → |
|---|
| SC-07 | Safe R | Russell Fry95% | Russell Fry95% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
|---|
South Carolina midterms: common questions
- Who will win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- Darline Graham (Republican) is favoured to win the South Carolina Senate race, at 82% on Kalshi and 82% on Polymarket.
- Who will win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
- Alan Wilson (Republican) is favoured to win the South Carolina governor race, at 93% on Kalshi and 93% on Polymarket.
- Which South Carolina House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate SC-01 as toss-up or lean races.