The Prediction Markets

2026 midterms · South Carolina

South Carolina 2026 Election Odds

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for South Carolina's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 7 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

South Carolina Senate

Likely R

Kalshi

  • Darline Graham82%

Polymarket

  • Darline Graham Nordone82%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →

South Carolina Governor

Safe R

Kalshi

  • Alan Wilson93%
  • Jermaine Johnson7%

Polymarket

  • Alan Wilson93%
  • Jermaine Johnson7%
Venue gap 0.9 ptsCompare odds →

South Carolina House races

Every South Carolina district with a market on either venue.

South Carolina House races
DistrictRatingGapLink
SC-01Lean R2.5 ptsOdds →
SC-02Likely R0.0 ptsOdds →
SC-03
Unrated—Odds →
SC-04
Unrated—Odds →
SC-05
Unrated—Odds →
SC-06
Unrated—Odds →
SC-07Safe R0.1 ptsOdds →

South Carolina midterms: common questions

Who will win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Darline Graham (Republican) is favoured to win the South Carolina Senate race, at 82% on Kalshi and 82% on Polymarket.
Who will win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Alan Wilson (Republican) is favoured to win the South Carolina governor race, at 93% on Kalshi and 93% on Polymarket.
Which South Carolina House races are competitive in 2026?
Prediction markets rate SC-01 as toss-up or lean races.