Who will win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?

Mike Rounds (Republican) is favoured to win the South Dakota Senate race, at 95% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.

Who will win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?

Larry Rhoden (Republican) is favoured to win the South Dakota governor race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.

Prediction markets don't rate any South Dakota House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.

2026 midterms · South Dakota

Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for South Dakota's 2026 races — Senate and governor and 1 House district. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Safe R

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 0.3 ptsCompare odds →

Safe R

Kalshi

Polymarket

Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →

Every South Dakota district with a market on either venue.

South Dakota House races
District	Rating	Kalshi favourite	Polymarket favourite	Gap	Link
SD-AL	Safe R	Marty Jackley97%	Marty Jackley95%	1.8 pts	Odds →

Who will win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?: Mike Rounds (Republican) is favoured to win the South Dakota Senate race, at 95% on Kalshi and 95% on Polymarket.
Who will win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?: Larry Rhoden (Republican) is favoured to win the South Dakota governor race, at 97% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
Which South Dakota House races are competitive in 2026?: Prediction markets don't rate any South Dakota House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.