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What the markets expect
Los Angeles D 15.3%
Next is Milwaukee at 9.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Los Angeles D15.3%22.1%15.3% fair20.3¢ bid, 22.7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago22.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $441 (4.41x)Los Angeles D15.3%Kalshi 22.1%(15.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $441 (4.41x)
Los Angeles D
15.3%
22.1%
15.3% fair
20.3¢ bid, 22.7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
22.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $441 (4.41x)
Los Angeles D
15.3%
Kalshi 22.1%(15.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $441 (4.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D
- Last price
- 22.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 15.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 20.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $441 (4.41x)
- Volume
- $33K
Milwaukee9.9%14.3%9.9% fair14.3¢ bid, 16.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago16.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $610 (6.10x)Milwaukee9.9%Kalshi 14.3%(9.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Milwaukee
9.9%
14.3%
9.9% fair
14.3¢ bid, 16.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
16.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Milwaukee
9.9%
Kalshi 14.3%(9.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 14.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 9.9%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 14.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $610 (6.10x)
- Volume
- $97K
New York Y6.4%9.3%6.4% fair5.9¢ bid, 9.3¢ askpolled, 5 h ago9.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)New York Y6.4%Kalshi 9.3%(6.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
New York Y
6.4%
9.3%
6.4% fair
5.9¢ bid, 9.3¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
9.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
New York Y
6.4%
Kalshi 9.3%(6.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York Y
- Last price
- 9.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,075 (10.8x)
- Volume
- $3K
Atlanta5.1%7.4%5.1% fair3.5¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago7.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Atlanta5.1%Kalshi 7.4%(5.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Atlanta
5.1%
7.4%
5.1% fair
3.5¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
7.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Atlanta
5.1%
Kalshi 7.4%(5.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 7.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
New York M5%7.3%5% fair3.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 5 h ago7.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)New York M5%Kalshi 7.3%(5% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
New York M
5%
7.3%
5% fair
3.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
7.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
New York M
5%
Kalshi 7.3%(5% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York M
- Last price
- 7.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
San Diego4.8%6.9%4.8% fair4¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago6.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)San Diego4.8%Kalshi 6.9%(4.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
San Diego
4.8%
6.9%
4.8% fair
4¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
6.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
San Diego
4.8%
Kalshi 6.9%(4.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 6.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $11K
Tampa Bay4.5%6.5%4.5% fair4¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago6.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Tampa Bay4.5%Kalshi 6.5%(4.5% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Tampa Bay
4.5%
6.5%
4.5% fair
4¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
6.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Tampa Bay
4.5%
Kalshi 6.5%(4.5% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 6.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
Chicago C4.4%6.4%4.4% fair3.1¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago6.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Chicago C4.4%Kalshi 6.4%(4.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Chicago C
4.4%
6.4%
4.4% fair
3.1¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
6.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Chicago C
4.4%
Kalshi 6.4%(4.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago C
- Last price
- 6.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $835
Cleveland3.8%5.5%3.8% fair3.1¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Cleveland3.8%Kalshi 5.5%(3.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Cleveland
3.8%
5.5%
3.8% fair
3.1¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Cleveland
3.8%
Kalshi 5.5%(3.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 5.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $8K
Boston3.7%5.3%3.7% fair3.1¢ bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Boston3.7%Kalshi 5.3%(3.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Boston
3.7%
5.3%
3.7% fair
3.1¢ bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Boston
3.7%
Kalshi 5.3%(3.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 5.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Arizona3.4%4.9%3.4% fair2.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Arizona3.4%Kalshi 4.9%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Arizona
3.4%
4.9%
3.4% fair
2.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Arizona
3.4%
Kalshi 4.9%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 4.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $173
Chicago WS3.4%4.9%3.4% fair2.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Chicago WS3.4%Kalshi 4.9%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Chicago WS
3.4%
4.9%
3.4% fair
2.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Chicago WS
3.4%
Kalshi 4.9%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago WS
- Last price
- 4.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $7K
Seattle3.1%4.5%3.1% fair3¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Seattle3.1%Kalshi 4.5%(3.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Seattle
3.1%
4.5%
3.1% fair
3¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Seattle
3.1%
Kalshi 4.5%(3.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 4.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $5K
Philadelphia2.8%4%2.8% fair2.9¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Philadelphia2.8%Kalshi 4%(2.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Philadelphia
2.8%
4%
2.8% fair
2.9¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Philadelphia
2.8%
Kalshi 4%(2.8% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Baltimore2.7%3.9%2.7% fair1¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago3.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Baltimore2.7%Kalshi 3.9%(2.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Baltimore
2.7%
3.9%
2.7% fair
1¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
3.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Baltimore
2.7%
Kalshi 3.9%(2.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 3.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $432
Texas2.4%3.5%2.4% fair1.9¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago3.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)Texas2.4%Kalshi 3.5%(2.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Texas
2.4%
3.5%
2.4% fair
1.9¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
3.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Texas
2.4%
Kalshi 3.5%(2.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $370
Pittsburgh2.3%3.4%2.3% fair1.5¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago3.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)Pittsburgh2.3%Kalshi 3.4%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Pittsburgh
2.3%
3.4%
2.3% fair
1.5¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
3.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Pittsburgh
2.3%
Kalshi 3.4%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 3.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $13
Detroit2.1%3.1%2.1% fair3.1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Detroit2.1%Kalshi 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Detroit
2.1%
3.1%
2.1% fair
3.1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Detroit
2.1%
Kalshi 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 3.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Miami2%2.9%2% fair1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago2.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Miami2%Kalshi 2.9%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Miami
2%
2.9%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
2.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Miami
2%
Kalshi 2.9%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 2.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $625
Toronto1.6%2.4%1.7% fair1.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago2.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Toronto1.6%Kalshi 2.4%(1.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Toronto
1.6%
2.4%
1.7% fair
1.1¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
2.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Toronto
1.6%
Kalshi 2.4%(1.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 2.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $807
Minnesota1.4%2%1.4% fair1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 5 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Minnesota1.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Minnesota
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Minnesota
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1
Cincinnati1.3%1.9%1.3% fair1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Cincinnati1.3%Kalshi 1.9%(1.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Cincinnati
1.3%
1.9%
1.3% fair
1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Cincinnati
1.3%
Kalshi 1.9%(1.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 1.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $20K
San Francisco1.3%1.9%1.3% fair1.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)San Francisco1.3%Kalshi 1.9%(1.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
San Francisco
1.3%
1.9%
1.3% fair
1.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
San Francisco
1.3%
Kalshi 1.9%(1.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 1.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $20K
Kansas City1.2%1.7%1.2% fair0.5¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Kansas City1.2%Kalshi 1.7%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kansas City
1.2%
1.7%
1.2% fair
0.5¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kansas City
1.2%
Kalshi 1.7%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 1.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $2
Los Angeles A1.2%1.7%1.2% fair1¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Los Angeles A1.2%Kalshi 1.7%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Los Angeles A
1.2%
1.7%
1.2% fair
1¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Los Angeles A
1.2%
Kalshi 1.7%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles A
- Last price
- 1.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
St. Louis1.2%1.8%1.2% fair0.8¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)St. Louis1.2%Kalshi 1.8%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
St. Louis
1.2%
1.8%
1.2% fair
0.8¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
St. Louis
1.2%
Kalshi 1.8%(1.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 1.8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $7K
Colorado1%1.4%0.5¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Colorado1%Kalshi 1.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Colorado
1%
1.4%
0.5¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Colorado
1%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $35
Washington1%1.5%0.5¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Washington1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Washington
1%
1.5%
0.5¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Washington
1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $381
A's0.9%1.4%1¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 5 h ago1.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)A's0.9%Kalshi 1.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
A's
0.9%
1.4%
1¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
1.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
A's
0.9%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- A's
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
Houston0.8%1.1%1.1¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Houston0.8%Kalshi 1.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Houston
0.8%
1.1%
1.1¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Houston
0.8%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Los Angeles D
- Milwaukee
- New York Y
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "2027 Pro Baseball Champion". Los Angeles D leads at 15.3%. Next is Milwaukee at 9.9%. $233K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2029.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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