The Prediction Markets

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Closes
Nov 22, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$161K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
11 min ago
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What the markets expect

Rory McIlroy 5.5%

Next is Tommy Fleetwood at 4.8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Rory McIlroy 5.5%Tommy Fleetwood 4.8%Adam Scott 3.8%Aaron Rai 3%Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 3%65 others 79.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 11 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Rory McIlroy
5.5%
Kalshi 5.4%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tommy Fleetwood
4.8%
Kalshi 4.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adam Scott
3.8%
Kalshi 3.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rai
3%
Kalshi 2.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
3%
Kalshi 2.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jon Rahm
2.9%
Kalshi 2.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt Wallace
2.8%
Kalshi 2.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Casey Jarvis
2.7%
Kalshi 2.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kristoffer Reitan
2.7%
Kalshi 2.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Hillier
2.3%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 60 more outcomes
Ewen Ferguson
2.1%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin Couvra
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Jordan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Reed
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Victor Perez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Schaper
1.9%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Dean
1.9%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Niklas Norgaard
1.9%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oliver Lindell
1.9%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Meronk
1.8%
Kalshi 1.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
1.8%
Kalshi 1.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Antoine Rozner
1.7%
Kalshi 1.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alejandro Del Rey
1.6%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Puig
1.6%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Skov Olesen
1.6%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joost Luiten
1.6%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Thriston Lawrence
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Armitage
1.4%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Bairstow
1.3%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Ayora Fanegas
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Filippo Celli
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco Laporta
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Francesco Molinari
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gregorio De Leo
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikael Lindberg
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nathan Kimsey
1.1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tom Vaillant
1.1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Angel Hidalgo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bernd Wiesberger
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeff Winther
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Bradbury
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Kalshi
Frederic Lacroix
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Guido Migliozzi
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joakim Lagergren
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Manuel Elvira
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ugo Coussaud
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Adrian Otaegui
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Calum Hill
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
JC Ritchie
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
JC Ritchie
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kota Kaneko
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yuto Katsuragawa
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Davis Bryant
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Kalshi
Freddy Schott
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scott Jamieson
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wenyi Ding
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andy Sullivan
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Hennie Du Plessis
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Gumberg
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Darius Van Driel
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Grant Forrest
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jorge Campillo
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Julien Guerrier
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefano Mazzoli
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$779
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Sterne
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shaun Norris
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Rodrigues
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Hollick
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ricardo Gouveia
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yurav Premlall
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 11 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 11 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, DP World Tour

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rory McIlroy
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Adam Scott

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 1 Leader". Rory McIlroy leads at 5.5%. Next is Tommy Fleetwood at 4.8%. $161K has traded across 70 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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