The Prediction Markets

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 10 Finishers

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Dan Bradbury 49.5%

Next is David Ravetto at 37%. The venues differ most on Francesco Laporta (Polymarket 16.9%, Kalshi 76%), a 59-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Dan Bradbury
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Bradbury
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
David Ravetto
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Ravetto
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Penge
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Penge
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Maximilian Steinlechner
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maximilian Steinlechner
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sean Crocker
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Crocker
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Joel Girrbach
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joel Girrbach
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Romain Langasque
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Romain Langasque
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Todd Clements
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Todd Clements
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
David Law
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Law
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 84 more outcomes
Marcus Kinhult
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Kinhult
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yanhan Zhou
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yanhan Zhou
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kazuma Kobori
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kazuma Kobori
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Matteo Manassero
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matteo Manassero
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rafael Cabrera
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rafael Cabrera
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Thomas Detry
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thomas Detry
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Brandon Stone
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brandon Stone
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom McKibbin
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom McKibbin
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Francesco LaportaArb
31.6%
Polymarket 16.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 76%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 18.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $549 (5.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
16.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.2¢
Sell Yes
15.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$549 (5.49x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Laporta
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 18.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 76¢ nets 5780 bps before fees.

Johannes Veerman
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Johannes Veerman
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bernd WiesbergerArb
29.2%
Polymarket 6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 52.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bernd Wiesberger
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 51¢ nets 4110 bps before fees.

Jon RahmArb
28.4%
Polymarket 15.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 68%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 17.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $581 (5.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
15.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.2¢
Sell Yes
13.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$581 (5.81x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jon Rahm
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$152
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 17.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 65¢ nets 4780 bps before fees.

Sam BairstowArb
26.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 48.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Bairstow
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 46¢ nets 3940 bps before fees.

Adrian Otaegui
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Otaegui
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Hennie Du Plessis
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Hennie Du Plessis
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jorge Campillo
25.8%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jorge Campillo
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jordan Gumberg
25.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Gumberg
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Thriston Lawrence
25.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Thriston Lawrence
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.3¢.

Daniel Rodrigues
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Rodrigues
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Davis Bryant
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davis Bryant
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Filippo Celli
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Filippo Celli
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Grant Forrest
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Grant Forrest
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Guido Migliozzi
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guido Migliozzi
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Joakim Lagergren
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joakim Lagergren
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Ugo Coussaud
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ugo Coussaud
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Yurav Premlall
25.5%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yurav Premlall
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Oliver Lindell
25.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oliver Lindell
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.

Angel Hidalgo
25.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Hidalgo
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.1¢.

Tom Vaillant
25.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Vaillant
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Marcus Armitage
25.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Armitage
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.8¢.

Nathan Kimsey
25.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Kimsey
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.7¢.

Calum Hill
25%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Calum Hill
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Gregorio De Leo
25%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gregorio De Leo
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Matthew JordanArb
23.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 42%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Jordan
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 3570 bps before fees.

Tommy FleetwoodArb
23%
Polymarket 3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 43%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Fleetwood
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 37¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Adrian MeronkArb
20.7%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 37%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adrian Meronk
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 37¢ nets 3030 bps before fees.

Joe Dean
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Dean
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacho Elvira
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacho Elvira
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt WallaceArb
19%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Wallace
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3000 bps before fees.

Daniel HillierArb
17.7%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 34%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Hillier
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 29¢ nets 2460 bps before fees.

Aaron RaiArb
16.2%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 51%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$910
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rai
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$233
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 4110 bps before fees.

Niklas Norgaard
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niklas Norgaard
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$338
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden SchaperArb
15.2%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 28.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Schaper
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2240 bps before fees.

Victor PerezArb
15.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 29%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Perez
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 870 bps before fees.

Angel Ayora Fanegas
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Ayora Fanegas
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Adam ScottArb
13.9%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 45%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 45¢ nets 3900 bps before fees.

Rory McIlroyArb
13.5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 39%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$964
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rory McIlroy
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 39¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Antoine RoznerArb
13.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 25%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Antoine Rozner
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 25¢ nets 2150 bps before fees.

Kristoffer ReitanArb
13%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 39%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristoffer Reitan
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 39¢ nets 3250 bps before fees.

Yuto KatsuragawaArb
12.9%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 39s agoKalshi 24%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Yuto Katsuragawa
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 2040 bps before fees.

Ewen FergusonArb
12.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ewen Ferguson
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1680 bps before fees.

Joost LuitenArb
12.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joost Luiten
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

JC Ritchie
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
JC Ritchie
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin CouvraArb
12.3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 23%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Couvra
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1400 bps before fees.

Tyrrell HattonArb
11.3%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 33%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrrell Hatton
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 2670 bps before fees.

Casey JarvisArb
10.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Casey Jarvis
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1410 bps before fees.

Eugenio Lopez-ChacarraArb
9.3%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 39s agoKalshi 32%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1090 bps before fees.

Wenyi DingArb
9.2%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 16%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wenyi Ding
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 820 bps before fees.

Shaun NorrisArb
9%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 39s agoKalshi 15.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shaun Norris
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 800 bps before fees.

Patrick ReedArb
8.9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 39s agoKalshi 31%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Reed
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 10 bps before fees.

Jeff Winther
8.5%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 16%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Winther
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Scott JamiesonArb
8.4%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Jamieson
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 750 bps before fees.

Kota KanekoArb
8.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 15%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kota Kaneko
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 1020 bps before fees.

Alejandro Del ReyArb
8.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoKalshi 15%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alejandro Del Rey
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$451
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 930 bps before fees.

Frederic LacroixArb
7.9%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frederic Lacroix
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 950 bps before fees.

Darius van DrielArb
7.6%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 13%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darius van Driel
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darius Van Driel
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 550 bps before fees.

David PuigArb
6.4%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 39s agoKalshi 11.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Puig
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Puig
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 760 bps before fees.

Andy SullivanArb
5.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 9.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Sullivan
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 620 bps before fees.

Freddy SchottArb
5.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 9.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Schott
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 7¢ nets 520 bps before fees.

Michael HollickArb
5%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Hollick
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 410 bps before fees.

Manuel ElviraArb
4.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manuel Elvira
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 430 bps before fees.

Mikael LindbergArb
4.7%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikael Lindberg
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 430 bps before fees.

Francesco MolinariArb
4.7%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 39s agoKalshi 8%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Francesco Molinari
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 240 bps before fees.

Richard SterneArb
4.5%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 8%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Sterne
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 120 bps before fees.

Julien Guerrier
4.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julien Guerrier
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.2¢.

Ricardo GouveiaArb
4.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 7.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ricardo Gouveia
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 330 bps before fees.

Stefano MazzoliArb
3.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 39s agoKalshi 5.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stefano Mazzoli
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 120 bps before fees.

Jacob Skov Olesen
2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoKalshi 3%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Skov Olesen
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Angel Ayora
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angel Ayora
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Dean
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joseph Dean
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ignacio Elvira
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ignacio Elvira
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Bradbury
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Bradbury
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Niklas Noergaard
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Niklas Noergaard
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
JC Ritchie
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
J. C. Ritchie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Francesco Laporta on Polymarket at 18.2¢, sell on Kalshi at 76¢ (5780 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: europeantour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: DP World Tour
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dan Bradbury
  • David Ravetto
  • Marco Penge

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Dan Bradbury for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 10 Finishers". Dan Bradbury leads at 49.5%. Next is David Ravetto at 37%. $16K has traded across 94 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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